Magic V5 gebruikt echte wedstrijddata als basis.
date team opponent gf ga match_type opponent_power
Voorbeeld:
2025-11-15,Netherlands,France,2,1,competitive,92
2022 = 10% 2023 = 20% 2024 = 25% 2025 = 45% 2026 = 55%
friendly = 0.70 qualifier = 0.90 competitive = 1.00 tournament = 1.15
Winnen van sterke landen telt zwaarder dan winnen van zwakke landen.
attack defense form opponent_strength
top13_minutes top13_output top13_market_value
recent_6m_form penalty_power ko_experience injury_risk
Magic score = attack * 22 - defense * 16 + form * 14 + ranking_power * 12 + player_power * 8 + opponent_strength * 8 + competitive_weight * 5 + recent_6m_form * 7 + top13_minutes * 4 + top13_output * 5 + top13_market_value * 4 + penalty_power * 3 + ko_experience * 4 - injury_risk * 10
verschil = Magic score land A - Magic score land B goals A = round(1.20 + verschil / 16) goals B = round(1.20 - verschil / 16)
Het systeem simuleert vervolgens 1000 volledige WK's.
wereldkampioen kans finalekans halve finale kans kwartfinale kans groepsfase overleven
Belangrijk: de grootste toekomstige verbetering komt nu vooral uit betere echte data, niet uit meer code.
| # | Land | Magic | WK winst% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 104.7 | 18.6% |
| 2 | Norway | 102.6 | 4.6% |
| 3 | Portugal | 99.3 | 9.6% |
| 4 | England | 99.2 | 8.5% |
| 5 | Japan | 98.9 | 4.6% |
| 6 | Argentina | 97.6 | 8.0% |
| 7 | France | 95.5 | 9.4% |
| 8 | Netherlands | 95.1 | 6.8% |
| 9 | Morocco | 94.4 | 2.9% |
| 10 | Belgium | 91.0 | 4.1% |
| 11 | Senegal | 89.7 | 1.6% |
| 12 | Algeria | 89.2 | 1.6% |
| 13 | Austria | 87.0 | 2.3% |
| 14 | Germany | 86.0 | 3.8% |
| 15 | Croatia | 83.6 | 2.3% |
| 16 | Ivory Coast | 82.2 | 0.6% |
| 17 | Australia | 82.1 | 1.1% |
| 18 | Iran | 80.1 | 0.7% |
| 19 | Brazil | 78.6 | 5.3% |
| 20 | New Zealand | 77.9 | 0.1% |
| 21 | Colombia | 76.3 | 0.5% |
| 22 | Switzerland | 76.0 | 0.8% |
| 23 | South Korea | 75.7 | 0.5% |
| 24 | Uzbekistan | 74.6 | 0.0% |
| 25 | Turkey | 74.4 | 0.6% |
| 26 | Egypt | 73.9 | 0.0% |
| 27 | Tunisia | 73.7 | 0.0% |
| 28 | Haiti | 73.1 | 0.0% |
| 29 | Czechia | 70.7 | 0.1% |
| 30 | DR Congo | 69.1 | 0.0% |
| 31 | USA | 69.1 | 0.0% |
| 32 | Curacao | 68.4 | 0.0% |
| 33 | Mexico | 68.2 | 0.0% |
| 34 | Canada | 67.0 | 0.0% |
| 35 | Uruguay | 66.7 | 1.3% |
| 36 | Jordan | 66.1 | 0.0% |
| 37 | Panama | 65.4 | 0.0% |
| 38 | South Africa | 65.4 | 0.0% |
| 39 | Sweden | 64.7 | 0.0% |
| 40 | Iraq | 63.7 | 0.0% |
| 41 | Ghana | 62.2 | 0.0% |
| 42 | Ecuador | 61.6 | 0.0% |
| 43 | Cape Verde | 61.5 | 0.0% |
| 44 | Scotland | 58.5 | 0.0% |
| 45 | Qatar | 55.0 | 0.0% |
| 46 | Saudi Arabia | 54.1 | 0.0% |
| 47 | Bosnia | 54.0 | 0.0% |
| 48 | Paraguay | 51.4 | 0.0% |